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Kelly + Expected Value
Calculate whether a bet has real value (+EV) and what percentage of your bankroll you should stake according to the Kelly Criterion.
Expected Value (EV)
VALUE BET
EV per unit staked
+0.155
per €1 staked
Implied probability
47.6%
↑ +7.4% ventaja
Kelly Criterion
Full Kelly
14.09%
Half-Kelly (recommended)
7.05%
Recommended stake
Half-Kelly · 1,000€
70.45€